Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.003003 0.003358 0.003730 0.004147 0.004599 0.005075 0.005614
2024-10-27 0.002432 0.002930 0.003479 0.004128 0.004870 0.005687 0.006654
2024-11-03 0.002058 0.002621 0.003268 0.004063 0.005003 0.006075 0.007381
2024-11-10 0.001806 0.002413 0.003136 0.004051 0.005167 0.006472 0.008101
2024-11-17 0.001594 0.002224 0.003001 0.004012 0.005277 0.006791 0.008720
2024-11-24 0.001478 0.002143 0.002984 0.004106 0.005542 0.007292 0.009562
2024-12-01 0.001299 0.001961 0.002824 0.004004 0.005546 0.007463 0.009993
2024-12-08 0.001182 0.001851 0.002746 0.003997 0.005665 0.007773 0.010595
2024-12-15 0.001136 0.001834 0.002788 0.004147 0.005987 0.008345 0.011540
2024-12-22 0.001064 0.001773 0.002765 0.004204 0.006184 0.008755 0.012282
2024-12-29 0.001019 0.001748 0.002788 0.004322 0.006463 0.009277 0.013176
2025-01-05 0.000981 0.001730 0.002819 0.004450 0.006758 0.009823 0.014111
2025-01-12 0.000872 0.001596 0.002676 0.004328 0.006705 0.009911 0.014450
2025-01-19 0.000799 0.001513 0.002604 0.004304 0.006789 0.010182 0.015040
2025-01-26 0.000723 0.001419 0.002507 0.004237 0.006805 0.010357 0.015498
2025-02-02 0.000667 0.001353 0.002450 0.004224 0.006897 0.010636 0.016101
2025-02-09 0.000610 0.001281 0.002378 0.004184 0.006944 0.010850 0.016617
2025-02-16 0.000586 0.001265 0.002396 0.004282 0.007197 0.011360 0.017551
2025-02-23 0.000525 0.001176 0.002287 0.004176 0.007139 0.011421 0.017854
2025-03-02 0.000487 0.001127 0.002242 0.004169 0.007229 0.011696 0.018462
2025-03-09 0.000480 0.001137 0.002297 0.004324 0.007572 0.012344 0.019611
2025-03-16 0.000458 0.001113 0.002294 0.004382 0.007764 0.012774 0.020454
2025-03-23 0.000447 0.001112 0.002328 0.004505 0.008058 0.013358 0.021529